News Feed
Sections




News Archive
Looking for more information on how to do PHP the right way? Check out PHP: The Right Way

Hut 8 Labs:
Coding, Fast and Slow Developers and the Psychology of Overconfidence
June 11, 2013 @ 12:16:24

There's an interesting post over on the Hut 8 Labs blog looking at overconfidence in developers and how it effects their estimations of the time it takes to get things done.

I'm going to talk today about what goes on in inside developers' heads when they make estimates, why that's so hard to fix, and how I personally figured out how to live and write software (for very happy business owners) even though my estimates are just as brutally unreliable as ever. But first, a story.

He talks about one of his own experiences about overconfidence and how he found a connection point in a section of a book with it as it talked about overconfidence. He talks about why you (we, as developers) suck at making estimates and how it should be less of a "how long to do it" question and more of a "how confident am I that I can do it" question. He points out that there are some situations where estimations don't suck - 0-12 hour tasks.

So what do we do? Just accept that all our projects are doomed to failure? That we'll have poisoned relationships with the rest of the business, because we'll always be failing to meet our promises? The key is that you first accept that making accurate long-term estimates is fundamentally impossible. Once you've done that, you can tackle a challenge which, though extremely difficult, can be met: how you can your dev team generate a ton of value, even though you can not make meaningful long-term estimates?
0 comments voice your opinion now!
developer overconfidence estimation psychology

Link: http://blog.hut8labs.com/coding-fast-and-slow.html

blog comments powered by Disqus

Similar Posts

RegDeveloper.co.uk: Build your PDF and Excel reports with PHP

Tim's Blog: The PHP Developer: A place for the tools

Job Posting: CMI (Recruiter) Seeks Web Developer (Northern New Jersey)

Job Posting: On a Roll Media Seeks PHP Developer (Vancouver, Canada)

Job Posting: 9 Track Mind Seeks an Application Developer (Toronto, Canada)


Community Events

Don't see your event here?
Let us know!


library configure community series performance release laravel example conference php7 symfony2 application opinion framework podcast api interview language install introduction

All content copyright, 2015 PHPDeveloper.org :: info@phpdeveloper.org - Powered by the Solar PHP Framework